With the continued rise of the festival economy, Halloween, as one of the most important traditional holidays in the European and American markets, once again demonstrates its strong consumption potential. Despite inflationary pressures and the shadow of tariffs, American consumers still show astonishing enthusiasm for purchasing.

The annual forecast by the National Retail Federation (NRF) and its strategic analysis partner Prosper Insights & Analytics indicates that total spending this year is expected to exceed $13.1 billion, not only far surpassing last year's $11.6 billion, but also breaking the previous record high of $12.2 billion, showing the strong momentum of the holiday economy.

This data not only reflects the resilience of the festival economy, but also provides a rare market opportunity for cross-border sellers.

 

Image source:retail-insight-network

I. Data Interpretation Behind the Consumption Boom

Although79% of consumers are concerned that tariff policies may lead to higher prices, 73% of respondents still say they will actively participate in Halloween celebrations.

This contradictory mentality of "rational concern" coexisting with "emotional consumption" precisely highlights the profound impact of festival culture on people's lives. Compared with last year, total consumer spending increased by about 12.9% year-on-year, showing a strong recovery trend in the Halloween economy.

 

Image source:retail-insight-network

From the perspective of consumption structure, traditional categories still dominate.

Candy, as the core consumer product of Halloween, is expected to reach $3.9 billion in spending; apparel spending is as high as $4.3 billion, becoming the main force of consumption. Among them, children's apparel spending is expected to be $1.4 billion, with characters such as Spider-Man, princesses, and witches being popular choices; adult apparel spending is about $2.0 billion, with classic images such as witches, vampires, and pirates still favored.

It is worth noting that the pet economy performs particularly well during Halloween. About20% of consumers plan to buy holiday costumes for their pets, with expected spending reaching $860 million. Fun shapes such as pumpkins, hot dogs, and bumblebees have become the first choice for pet owners, reflecting the deepening trend of "family-style holiday experience" consumption.

 

Image source:Google

II. Changes in Consumption Habits and Market Opportunities

Compared with previous years, consumers' shopping behavior this year shows a clear trend of "early preparation". 49% of consumers start purchasing Halloween supplies in September or earlier, up from 47% last year. This trend suggests that cross-border sellers need to optimize supply chain response speed and plan inventory and marketing strategies in advance.

 

Image source:retail-insight-network

In addition, the diversification of consumption scenarios has brought new growth points to the market. Sales of home decoration products have risen sharply, for example, a 12-inch animated pumpkin lamp called Jabberin’Jack quickly became popular on TikTok, with sales exceeding $5 million in 30 days. The key to its success lies in intuitively showcasing product interaction features through short videos, combined with influencer marketing and topic dissemination (such as #singingpumpkin with tens of millions of views), resulting in the incubation of a blockbuster product.

Another floating candle decoration stands out with creative design. This product uses flameless safety technology, simulates a floating effect by hanging with transparent wire, and controls the lighting with a magic wand, perfectly fitting the fantasy theme of Halloween and attracting widespread attention on social platforms.

 

Image source:TikTok

III. Hidden Concerns Behind Prosperity: Patent Infringement Risks

However, behind the market prosperity lies legal risks that cannot be ignored. Taking the popular pumpkin lamp as an example, its appearance design and functional technology may involve patent protection.

For example, the patent numberUSD1060773S1 for the "Pumpkin lamp" design features solar power supply and path lighting functions. If sellers sell similar products without authorization, it is highly likely to constitute patent infringement.

Such risks may not only lead to legal proceedings and hefty fines, but even trigger severe consequences such as store closures. Therefore, cross-border sellers need to strengthen intellectual property review when selecting products to avoid unnecessary losses caused by infringement issues.

 

Image source:Amazon

Conclusion

The continued growth of the Halloween consumer market not only reflects the strong appeal of festival culture, but also reveals consumers' deep demand for experiential consumption. For cross-border sellers, only by accurately grasping market trends and simultaneously preventing potential risks can they gain an edge in this annual consumption feast. In the future, as the festival economy further evolves, innovation and compliance will become the core elements of industry competition.